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Intelligence Analysis
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The LAMP Process

Our application of the LAMP techniques (developed by Col. Jonathan Lockwood) will uniquely afford you a new dimension to business analysis and strategic planning.

With LAMP, it will be possible for you to apply mathematical principles along with our computer rationalization techniques to capture and predict the most likely course of action of actors affecting your market. Good judgment is a “must” in business. But, to use data along with good judgment is real "intelligence." We have used LAMP to enhance the CIPA process. The computer algorithms that make CIPA possible are based on sophisticated mathematics and on new ways of integrating computer power and human intelligence.

Imagine when this new combination of applied mathematics and cognitive science is further combined with the super-enhanced data mining methodologies and state-of-the-art optimization technologies that are available to us.

Using the 12 steps of the LAMP technique, we can develop a series of "alternate futures," for your business operations; determine their relative probability using a pairwise comparison voting method; identify the "focal events" for the three "most likely" alternate futures; and then develop Indications and Warnings (I&W) markers for the focal events within the most likely alternate future.

Furthermore, the LAMP technique utilizes a hybrid methodology of predictive analysis that builds on other analytical and planning methodologies such as:

  • The Delphi Method

  • The Scenario Method

  • The Analytic Hierarchy Process, and

  • The Competing Hypotheses Method

The LAMP technique combines elements of those other analytical methodologies in a uniquely qualitative way in that it is based on determining the relative probability of a series of alternate futures, rather than attempting to determine the quantitative probability of their occurrence. Even though the LAMP does not assign a quantifiable probability of occurrence for each future, it has little allowance for ambiguity. Thus, it provides solid intelligence to aid the decision-making process of policy makers.

The LAMP works on the principle that the future is the sum total of all interactions of "free will," on individual, corporate and international scales. In human history, the interactions of “free will” among actors have played out in predictable events.

While the LAMP is not an infallible method for predicting the future, it gives intelligence analysts, by far, a more powerful, systematic and reliable method for organizing all available data based on the perceptions of the actors. It uses such perceptions to make relevant stratifications, juxtapositions, interpolations and ultimately, predictions – using everyday language – as to which alternate future is most likely to occur at a given moment in time. Thus, you can have very reliable information to make the best possible strategic, operational or tactical plans, with various permutations of competitive response.
 


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